尾矿库溃坝风险因素识别与风险评价研究

中图分类号：TD926.4文献标识码：A

文章编号：1672-3791（2026）04-0205-04

Research on Risk Factorldentificationand Risk Assessment for the Dambreak of Tailings Pond

HUA Qing YAO Qinqin

Jiangxi Tieshanlong Tungsten Industry Co.，Ltd.， Ganzhou， Jiangxi Province，341ooo China

Abstract： Tailings ponds are key facilities inmines，andcontroling theriskofdam failure is crucial.This paper introduces the compositionand structure of tailings ponds，as wellas their types，and then reviews theadvantages and disadvantagesofmainstream dam failurerisk assessmentmethods.Fivekeyrisk factors fordam failureare identified： seepage damage，flood overtopping，dam slope instability，liquefaction due to earthquakes，and deficiencies insafety management.A three-levelcausalanalysisframework of "shallowphenomena-intermediate factors-deeproots"is constructedtoreveal the intrinsic logicamong thefirst threefactors.Finally，it is pointedout that integrating multiple intellgent algorithms isan effective wayto achieve systematicand quantitativerisk asessmentof tailings ponds， aiming to provide theoretical basis and practical reference for thesafety risk asessment and prevention of tailings ponds.

Keywords： Tailings pond; Dam failure risk;Risk factor identification;Risk assessment

在当今工业布局中，尾矿库作为矿山开采等工业活动的必要附属设施，其安全运营与风险管控至关重要。（剩余5126字）