基于改进G1法的房地产项目交付能力评估测度研究

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Research on the Evaluation Measure of Real Estate Project Delivery Ability Based on Improved G1 Method

WANG Lei

(Diqing Prefecture Housing and Urban-Rural Development Bureau，Shangri-La 6744OO,China）

Abstract:The measurement of real estate project delivery capacity is the basis for enterprises to formulate delivery plansand for govermment agencies and financial institutions to formulate policies.Firstly，anasessmentsystem forthe project delivery capacityof real estate enterprises is established.Secondly，the improvedG1method isused to determine the index weights，and the weighted sum method is combined to construct theassessment model.Finally，an empirical analysis is conductedonfiveongoing projects ofalargereal estatecompany.Theresultsshowthattheimproved Gl methodcan better integrate the information from the expert group；financialand sales-related indicators are the main indicators for assessing the deliverycapacityof real estate projects；during thedownturnof thereal estate market, thecomprehensivedeliverycapacity indexof thefiveselected projects isrelativelylow.Theempirical resultsarerelativelyconsistent with theactual situationand can providesomereferenceforthework of ensuring thedeliveryof real estate projects in China.

Keywords:delivery capacity measurement；improved G1 method；real estate project；weighted sum method

0 引言

保交楼是2022年7月28日中共中央政治局会议首次提出的工作任务，也是稳民生的前提。（剩余9420字）