2025年新能源商用车市场回顾及2026年预测

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中图分类号：U461 收稿日期：2026-02-03 DOI：10.19999/j.cnki.1004-0226.2026.02.002

Review of New Energy Commercial Vehicle Market in 2O25 and Forecast in 2026

Yang Zidu Yin Bojun AutomotiveDataof China Co.，Ltd.，Tianjin 30o380，China

Abstract：ThispaperprovidesacomprehensivereviewoftheChinanewenergycommercialvehiclemarketin2O25andmakesa forward-lookingpredictionofitsdevelopmenttrendsin226Analysisofautomobilecirculationdatarevealsthat2O25isotonlya yearofleapfroggrowth insalesvolumeandpenetrationratefortenewenergycommercialvehiclemarket，butalsoa“tuingpoint yearmarkingprofoundqualitativechangsinthemarket'scoredrivers，technologicalapplicationparadigms，ompetitiveandscape， and policyorientation.Lookingaheadto2O26，thenewenergycommercialvehiclemarketwillenteranewphase where“growthrate adjustment”coexistswith“hig-ualitydevelopment".Adjustmentstopurchasetaxductionplicieswilconducta“strestestothe market，promptingtheindustrytofocusmoreontechnologicalinnovationandcostoptimization.Theoverallmarketisexpectedto maintainsteadygowth，thoughthegrowthateayslowcomparedto25.Technologicalyntellgenceandoectivitywildeen further，withtegationintotheergyosystembecominggrowthoint.Marketcompeitionilltesify，hile“goigglo al"will shift from a trial to acore strategy for many enterprises.

KeyWords：Commercial vehicles;New energy;Market forecast;Technological progress

12025年新能源商用车市场回顾

2025年，新能源商用车市场的宏观数据表现极为亮眼，全年销量91.7万辆，同比增长 58.5% ，是"十四五"末期的近10倍。（剩余4213字）