数字新质生产力、农业高质量发展对农业全要素碳生产率的影响

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中图分类号：F323.3 文献标识码：A文章编号：0439-8114（2026）01-0250-07DOI：10.14088/j.cnki.issn0439-8114.2026.01.036开放科学（资源服务）标识码（OSID）：

The impact of digital new quality productivity and high-quality agricultural development on total factor carbon productivity in agriculture

TUJiao-yanga，ABUDUREHEMAN Abudikeranmua，b，GUO Yong-chao²， JIABing-qi，ZHENGYi-fei，SHICheng-donga

（a.ScholofPublicAdministratio；b.PostdoctoralResearchStationofAgriculturalandForestryEcooicsndanagement；coge Economicsand Management，XinjiangAgricultural University，Urumqi 83oo52，China）

Abstract：TakingChina’s30provinces（autonomousregionsandmunicipalies）asresearchobjects，thefixed-efectsmodelandmediatioeffectmodelwereconstructedtoempiricalltestheimpactofdigitalnwqualityproductivityandhigqualityagiculturaldevelopmentonagriculturaltotalfctorcarbonproductivityfrom2O12toO21.Theresultsshowedthattheagriculturaltotalfactorcarbon productivityhdasteadygrowth trendfrom2012toO21，andtheagriculturaltotalfactorcarbonproductivityincentralChinawas higher.Thedigitalnewqualityproductivityadasignificanpromotigetoeagriculturaltotalfactorcarbonproductiityigital newqualityproductivitysignificantlypositivelyimpactedagiculturaltotalfactorcarbonproductivitybyempoweringhighqualityagiculturaldevelopent.Furthermore，terogeitynalyssevealedthathedigitalnewqualityroductivityadoresigiiantpr moting ffectonagiculturaltotalfactorcarbonproductiyinlowdigitalizationlevelregionsandcentralregions.Itwassestedto establisharegionalheterogeneousdigitaltechnologypromotionsytem，strengtenthetechnologicalinnovationdrivenbyghqality development of agriculture，and improve the dynamic monitoring mechanism of agricultural carbon productivity.

KeyWords：digitalnewqualityproductivity；highqualitydevelopmntofagriculture;totalfactorcarbonproductivityinagiculture; fixed effect model;mediation effect model

2023年9月，习近平总书记提出新质生产力理念，旨在强调以数字技术驱动、绿色低碳导向重塑各产业形态[，为农业高质量发展注入新动能[2]2025年中央一号文件《中共中央国务院关于进一步深化农村改革扎实推进乡村全面振兴的意见》强调要以科技创新引领先进生产要素集聚，因地制宜发展农业新质生产力，再次强调了新质生产力对农业发展的重要作用。（剩余8383字）