黄河流域（河南段）土地利用变化及其固碳能力研究
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中图分类号：X171.1；F301.24 文献标志码：A doi：10.3969/j.issn.1000-1379.2026.03.016
Study on Land Use Change and Carbon Sequestration Capacity in the Yellow River Basin （Henan Section）
ZHANG Lu1，YANG Jiawei²，CAO Changjing'， HAN Jiaqi1，XU Jiayi1 （1.North China University of Water Resources and Hydropower， Zhengzhou 45O046， China; 2.Northwest A&FUniversity，Yangling 7121OO，China）
Abstract：Landusecangeleadstovariatiosinteestrialeosystmcarbonstorage.Simulatinglndusepatesandarbnstorageuder diferentscenariosintheYelowRiverBasin（Henansection）isofgeatsignificanceforpromotingthehigqualitydevelopentofthe YelowRiver Basinandachievementofthedual-carbongoals.BasedontheFLUSandInVESTmodels，land-usepatesandcarbnstorage intheYellowRiverBasin（Henansection）in2O3Oweresimulatedunderthenaturaldevelopmentscenarioandthehigh-qualitydevelopment scenario.Furtherore，testandarddeviationelipseaseplodtoinvestigatetespatiotemporalevolutionofcarbonstorageademigrationtrajectoyof iscenterofgravityTeresultsindicaeatthedomiantland-usetypsinteYelowRiverBasin（Henansectio）are cultivatedlandandfrestnderbonstoragein98，99，000，01d220were125blots，254lots，5 biliontos，.4ilontos，d3bllontosspeivelyy，arbonstoaeundertaturaldevelopntseide high-qualitydevelopmentscearioisprojetedtob1.18and1.184billontos，respectively.Overthepast40yearsandunderoth2030 scenarios，thecenterofgavityofcarbonstoragehasgnerallyigratedfromthenortheastowardtesouthwest，hileremainingcosistently located within Luoyang city.
Key words：carbon stock；InVESTmodel;；FLUS model；standard deviation elipse；Yelow River Basin（Henan section）
0 引言
土地利用变化是陆地生态系统碳储量变化的主要原因[1-2]，近年来国内外学者基于GIS 软件等分析了土地利用分布时空变化特征及其驱动因子，但对土地利用类型演变机制及不同发展路径的多元考量不足[3]。（剩余8623字）
