黄河流域水资源供需与安全态势研判

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关键词：水资源量；天然径流量;生态水量；用水结构；用水效率；水资源供需态势；跨流域调水；黄河流域

中图分类号：TV213：TV882.1 文献标志码：A doi：10.3969/j.issn.1000-1379.2026.03.001引用格式：安新代，尚文绣，吕鸿.黄河流域水资源供需与安全态势研判[J].人民黄河，2026，48（3）：1-8.

Assessment of Water Supply-Demand and Security Situation in the Yellow River Basin

AN Xindai1，2， SHANG Wenxiu1，²，LYU Hong1，2 （1.Yellow River Engineering Consulting Co.，Ltd.， Zhengzhou 450oo3， China;

2.KeyLaboratoryofWaterManagementandWaterSecurityforYelowRiverBasinofMinistryofWaterResources，Zhengzhou45O，China） Abstract：WatersarcityostiutesacialostraintontesustainabledevelopmentoftheYelowRiverBasinToprovideefereefor formulatingwateresocessuritystrategiesinteeloiversi，ssudysystematicallalydefudametalacteistc， developmentandutlationddmiistratiesiatioofatersoucsinesinndprjetedfutuesupplymandtrndse sultsindicatetata）TeeloiverBsinsufrfromporbasenewatrsoucsondiiosprarilracteredbyeveeal shortageentiotepoalsrteralditaalabilitologddstida asignificantdclintrdinralof.b）Withiuosiroventofwateoceaagntstes，teotwateruse withintheYelowRiverwatersuplyzoneremaiedgeneralystablefrom1989t023，yetnotablestructuralchangesoued，evidenced byasubstantialdcreaseinteproportioofagculturalwateruse.c）Wateruseinteasinisostraiedbybothesoueavailabilityd managemnt policies.Although waterusefiencyhasreachedarelativelyadvancedleveldomesticall，asignificantsupply-demandgap persistsleadingtopromnenissssuchasisufnteoealoineaisraandutaries，verhelsdatio andshrinkage，andseveregoundwateroverexploitationd）Tosupportnatioalstrategicgalssuchascologicalconservatioadhigh qualitydevelopntiheloiversinlg-esabilitnduritywellasfodndnerurityaterddite basinisprojeotiegongItspeatiteleatetsucfitesaterasrpotsteater security for the basin through external water sources.

Keywords：waterresouces；naturalunoff；viroentalflow；waterusestructure;waterusefncy；watersupply-demandsiation; inter-basin water transfer； Yellow River Basin

黄河流域是我国重要的生态屏障和经济地带，水资源安全对保障黄河流域乃至全国的生态安全、粮食安全、能源安全以及经济社会可持续发展具有关键作用[]。（剩余12982字）