安徽省农业旱灾风险综合评价及特征分析

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关键词农业旱灾风险；模糊综合评价；变化特征；指标体系；制约因素；安徽省

中图分类号S423文献标识码A

文章编号 0517-6611（2026）07-0064-07

AbstractThispapertakesAnuiProvinceastheresearchbjectandconductsacomprehensiveevaluationofagriculturaldroughtiskate county（citystrct）vel.obghcteisfatialstrtiofriiatioapdomoolodpai structureicatgiddtalhip tedareatocutivatedlandarea，anddroughtdamagedepthisonstructed.Therisklvelsarediviedintofourgrades：owriskediuisk， medium-highriskandhighrisk.Thefuzycomprehensiveevaluationmethodisusedtoevaluatetheagriculturaldroughtriskof04counties （cities，disticts）Arovie.TsultsowtattdoughtiskinAiProvepresntsaspatialpaeof“rinet andlowerintoth"elemedghsotiit，stricts）dftegsoutiis，tricts）eoated theHuaibeiPlainandJianghai HllyregionshilethriskinthesouthernAnhuimoutaiousareaandteplainalongtheYangtzeRiveris relativelylowdthisintewesteAnumountainosareaistlowstAaloftstrictiefactosinmedgndisk areasreveastictoalhsinlnstpiiidd areaandlowproportioofrgatedahileeJiangaiHillgioisailyrictedylargultivatedlandreandlestocal droughtarea.Basedon this，targeted suggestions forregional drought prevention and control measuresareput forward.

Keywordsgclualroutisk;yompesiveeaation;Viaracteitis;d;Restriciectors;o ince

农业旱灾作为全球范围内频发的重大自然灾害，具有影响范围广、持续时间长、致灾机制复杂等特点，带来的经济社会损失巨大[]。（剩余10681字）