山东省土地利用碳排放时空演变特征及影响因子探测

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关键词：碳排放；土地利用；夜间灯光数据；地理探测器；省中图分类号：U412.1;F301.2 文献标志码：A doi：10.3969/j.issn.1000-1379.2026.02.018[用格式：，，，等.省土地利用碳排放时空演变特征及影响因子探测[J].人民黄河，2026，48（2）：115-120，128.

Spatiotemporal Evolution Characteristics and Influencing Factors Identification of Land Use Carbon Emissions in Shandong Province

ANShu，DUAN Yifang，WU Xiaoman，CHEN Dengshuai，YU Hailin （School of Geography and Environment，Liaocheng University，Liaocheng 252Ooo，China）

Abstract：Dynamicmonitoringandanalyzingthespatiotemporalchangesofcrbonemisionfromlanduseisof greatsignificanceforachie vingcarbonemisionrductiontargets.Ontebasisofobtainglongtesrisnghtielightdata，tisudycouplednduseadery consumptiondatatoconstructacarbonemisionestimationmodel，andestimatedthecarbonemisionof Shandong Provinceandeach prefectre-levelcityio05，1，dndoptedexplosatialataalyisGDeectate spatiotemporalevoutoncharacteristisanditsifuecingfactorsofbonemissosfromlanduseinSandonProvie.Tefdingsdicatedthat：From2OoOtoO2O，theoveralltrendofcarbonemisionfromlanduseinShandongProvincewas“increasefirst，thendecrease”，witharbessonacngapakin1，folodbydeceasingtredFromt，thespatialdieretatioca acteristicsofcarbonmissosinSandongProviceeresigificantTecralandsoutheasregiosanlyexhbiedlowighgloerationpates，hileteasteandsoutregioserecharacterzedpriarilyygghagomerationandg-lowloatio features.Basdotetectiosultsfrotepresetatieyear，etotaliculturalecanalpowrddustrialestis sionsprovidedthestrongestoverallexplanationforcarbonemissosinhandongProvinceAndtheiteractionofanytwofactorssoweda two-factor enhancement or non-linear enhancement.

Key Words：carbon emission； land use；nighttime light data；GeoDetector; Shandong Province

人类活动排放温室气体是全球气候变暖的主要原因之一，其对人类社会的可持续发展产生了深刻影响，减少 CO2 排放量已成为全球共识1]。（剩余9354字）