基于随机演化博弈的机场不停航施工安全监管仿真分析

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中图分类号：TU714；O225 文献标识码：A 文章编号：1006-8228（2026）01-06-07

Abstract：Toenhancetheefectivenessofsafetysupervisioninairportnon-stoconstructionthispaperidentifiestheaiport managementauthoritysupervisionunit，andconstructionunitasthepriarystakeholders.Basedonthisframework，Gaussianhite noiseisintroducedtosimulateexternalenvironmentaldisturbances，andatripartitestochasticevolutionarygamemodelis constructed.SimulationanalysisofkeyparametersisconductedusingMATLAB.Theresultsindicatethat：therateofchangenthe probabilityofinitialstrategyselectionamongthethreepartiesvariessignificantlyacrossthediferentconstructionstages；the intensityofregulatoryoversightbythecivilaviationqualtysupervisiondepartmenthasapositiveincentiveeffectontheevolution ofallthreeparties，withthemostpronouncedimpactontheairportmanagementauthority;thepenaltystrategiesadoptedbythe airportmanagementauthorityafectthesupervisionunitandtheconstructionunitdierently，withthesupervisionunitshowing highersensivitytopenaltiesthantheconstructionunit；theintesityofextealenvironmentaldisturbancessignificantlyinfluences the stability of the evolutionary path.

Keywords：Airport Non-StopConstruction;SafetySupervision;StochasticEvolutionary Game;SimulationAnalysis

0引言

近年来，随着民航业的快速发展，航空旅客流量持续增长，机场改扩建工程需求显著增加。（剩余8641字）